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Betting tips › Championship ›  Wrexham v Burnley

 ChampionshipTue 8 Sept 18:45 UTCSTōK Cae RasFinished

Wrexham v Burnley tips

WXMWrexhamDWLDD
1 : 1
BURBurnleyLDLDL
The model callWrexhamMatch result2.05★★★★1 starLost

Wrexham are at home against Burnley on Tuesday night. The hosts look more stable based on recent results.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20.5
Profit$10.5
Why it might land
  • Wrexham avoid defeat in most of their recent matches played.
  • Burnley struggle to find any wins in their last outings.
  • The home price offers decent value for a tight contest.
Why it might not
  • Too many draws for Wrexham might stop them taking three points.
  • Burnley are hard to beat even when playing poorly away.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Burnley struggle to find the net based on their recent run of losses.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 2.00Won

Both sides have too many draws and low scoring games lately to back goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Wrexham the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Wrexham, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Wrexham are at home against Burnley on Tuesday night. The hosts look more stable based on recent results.

Form and momentum

Wrexham come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for WXM, 27% for the draw and 27% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Wrexham, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Too many draws for Wrexham might stop them taking three points.
  • Burnley are hard to beat even when playing poorly away.
The bottom line

We back Wrexham for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWXM +105
WXM2.05draw3.60BUR3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WXMWrexham40 games on record
Won16
Drawn15
Lost9
  • Scored58and let in50
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDD
BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn13
Lost24
  • Scored40and let in80
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Wrexham vs Burnley value?

The site model fancies Wrexham at home against Burnley on Tuesday because the hosts look more stable recently. The worry is that too many draws might stop Wrexham taking all three points. What are you...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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