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Betting tips › National League ›  Worthing v Southend United

 National LeagueTue 27 Oct 19:45 UTCSussex Transport Community Stadium

Worthing v Southend United tips

WORWorthingWWWDD
VS
SOUTSouthend UnitedLWWDW
The model callWorthingMatch result2.45★★★★2 stars

Worthing bring a strong unbeaten run into this fixture and look good value at home. Southend United travel after a recent defeat which tempers their otherwise decent form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$49
Profit$29
Why it might land
  • Worthing enter this match carrying an impressive recent league form line of three wins and two draws from their last five outings.
  • The home side are priced at a generous 2.45 to win which gives us plenty of room to back their current momentum.
  • Southend United suffered a defeat recently which shows they can be got at on the road in this division.
Why it might not
  • Southend United have still managed to win four of their last five matches including an away success which makes this a tough test.
  • The visitors sit closely enough in form to make picking a clear winner a tricky business at the Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Worthing and Southend both arrive with enough attacking form to find the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have been scoring regularly in recent weeks so goals could flow.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Southend United the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Worthing, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Worthing bring a strong unbeaten run into this fixture and look good value at home. Southend United travel after a recent defeat which tempers their otherwise decent form.

Form and momentum

Worthing come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 3 of their 6 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Southend United come in strong, winning 60% of 10 on record. 3 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for WOR, 23% for the draw and 40% for SOUT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Southend United have still managed to win four of their last five matches including an away success which makes this a tough test.
  • The visitors sit closely enough in form to make picking a clear winner a tricky business at the Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
The bottom line

We back Worthing for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSOUT +130
WOR2.45draw3.90SOUT2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WORWorthing10 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored19and let in16
  • At home3 winsfrom6
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDD
SOUTSouthend United10 games on record
Won6
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored25and let in16
  • On the road3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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