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Betting tips › National League ›  Worthing v AFC Hornchurch

 National LeagueTue 15 Sept 18:45 UTCSussex Transport Community StadiumFinished

Worthing v AFC Hornchurch tips

WORWorthingDDLLW
1 : 0
HORAFC HornchurchLLWWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.56★★★★2 starsLost

The goals line looks inviting given how both teams have been shipping them lately. Expect an open game at the Sussex Transport Community Stadium on Tuesday night.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.2
Profit$11.2
Why it might land
  • Worthing come into this match after picking up two draws and two losses in their last five outings before finally grabbing a win.
  • AFC Hornchurch have been extremely unpredictable lately with two losses followed by two wins and then another defeat in their latest fixture.
  • The bookmakers have priced the over 2.5 goals line at a decent 1.56 which suggests goals are expected in this National League clash.
Why it might not
  • Worthing suffered two consecutive defeats prior to their recent victory which shows they can be fragile at the back.
  • AFC Hornchurch also lost their most recent match and might tighten up defensively to avoid another disappointing result on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both sides have shown enough inconsistency at the back recently to suggest clean sheets will be hard to keep.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Worthing the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. The goals line looks inviting given how both teams have been shipping them lately. Expect an open game at the Sussex Transport Community Stadium on Tuesday night.

Form and momentum

Worthing come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

AFC Hornchurch come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for WOR, 26% for the draw and 32% for HOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Worthing, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.56, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Worthing suffered two consecutive defeats prior to their recent victory which shows they can be fragile at the back.
  • AFC Hornchurch also lost their most recent match and might tighten up defensively to avoid another disappointing result on the road.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWOR +115
WOR2.15draw3.55HOR2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WORWorthing7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored13and let in14
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLLW
HORAFC Hornchurch7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in11
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Worthing v Hornchurch. Anyone backing goals?

The site model calls this a draw and likes the goals line because both sides have been shipping them lately. Expect an open game at the Sussex Transport Community Stadium on Tuesday night. Worthing di...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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