Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  Willem II v SC Cambuur

 EredivisieSat 24 Oct 16:45 UTCKoning Willem II Stadion

Willem II v SC Cambuur tips

WILWillem IILLDLD
VS
CAMSC CambuurDWDLL
The model callWillem IIMatch result2.45★★★★1 star

Willem II are terrible right now but Cambuur are hardly pulling up trees either. I will take the hosts simply because they are at home and available at a decent price.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24.5
Profit$14.5
Why it might land
  • Willem II get home advantage at the Koning Willem II Stadion where the crowd might just push them over the line against struggling visitors.
  • The market prices Willem II at two point four five which gives us a fair price on a side desperate to turn their recent bad form around.
  • SC Cambuur arrive with patchy away form shown by their recent sequence of results including two straight defeats on the road.
Why it might not
  • Willem II come into this fixture on a grim run of form featuring three losses and two draws from their last five matches.
  • SC Cambuur managed a draw and a win before their recent defeats so they are capable of frustrating the hosts on Saturday afternoon.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams keep leaking goals based on their recent results so we might see defensive errors at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows enough consistent goalscoring punch in recent matches to suggest four goals will happen.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Willem II the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Willem II, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Willem II are terrible right now but Cambuur are hardly pulling up trees either. I will take the hosts simply because they are at home and available at a decent price.

Form and momentum

Willem II come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

SC Cambuur come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for WIL, 25% for the draw and 37% for CAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Willem II come into this fixture on a grim run of form featuring three losses and two draws from their last five matches.
  • SC Cambuur managed a draw and a win before their recent defeats so they are capable of frustrating the hosts on Saturday afternoon.
The bottom line

We back Willem II for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWIL +145
WIL2.45draw3.70CAM2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WILWillem II7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored6and let in20
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLD
CAMSC Cambuur7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in19
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW