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Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07

 BundesligaSat 17 Oct 13:30 UTCWeserstadion

Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07 tips

SVWWerder BremenWDWLL
VS
SCPSC Paderborn 07WLLD
The model callWerder BremenMatch result1.80★★★★2 stars

Werder Bremen return to their home ground with a stronger recent run of results than their opponents. The odds of 1.80 offer fair value for a side facing a struggling visiting team.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Werder Bremen captured wins in three of their last five matches to show they carry decent momentum into this fixture at the Weserstadion.
  • SC Paderborn 07 managed only a single win across their last four matches which points to serious vulnerability away from home.
  • Bookmakers offer a price of 1.80 on Werder Bremen to win which gives us enough room to make a sensible medium confidence play.
Why it might not
  • Werder Bremen suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten when their defense slips up.
  • SC Paderborn 07 grabbed a win in their latest outing and might carry unexpected fight into this clash despite their poor overall form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown mixed defensive form recently which usually leaves the door open for goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.54

The price of 1.54 for over 2.5 goals suggests a high scoring match is expected by the bookmakers.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Werder Bremen the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Werder Bremen, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Werder Bremen return to their home ground with a stronger recent run of results than their opponents. The odds of 1.80 offer fair value for a side facing a struggling visiting team.

Form and momentum

Werder Bremen come in poor, winning 26% of 38 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

SC Paderborn 07 come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for SVW, 24% for the draw and 25% for SCP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Werder Bremen, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Werder Bremen suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten when their defense slips up.
  • SC Paderborn 07 grabbed a win in their latest outing and might carry unexpected fight into this clash despite their poor overall form.
The bottom line

We back Werder Bremen for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
SVW1.73draw3.75SCP4.33
SourceDraftKingsSVW -125
SVW1.80draw3.75SCP3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SVWWerder Bremen38 games on record
Won10
Drawn9
Lost19
  • Scored45and let in68
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLL
SCPSC Paderborn 074 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored3and let in5
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: Worth the 1.80 price?

The site model likes Werder Bremen at 1.80 since they are in better form at home. They have lost two of their last five games though so the defense remains a concern. Do you think they are safe at tha...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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