Wellington Phoenix FC v Melbourne Victory tips

WEL

Wellington Phoenix FC

MVC

Melbourne Victory

The model callMelbourne VictoryMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Melbourne Victory travel to Sky Stadium as favourites against Wellington Phoenix. The price of 2.10 offers enough value to back the visitors in this early season clash.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$42

Profit$22

Why it might land

Melbourne Victory are available at a decent price of 2.10 to claim all three points on the road against Wellington Phoenix.
Wellington Phoenix play their opening match of the campaign at home and lack any recorded form to guide expectations.
Melbourne Victory enter this fixture with no prior results on record just like their hosts in Wellington.

Why it might not

Wellington Phoenix have home advantage at Sky Stadium which always makes life difficult for visiting sides.
Both teams enter this contest with no prior results on record which makes predicting the outcome extremely tricky.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has played yet so guessing goals at both ends is pure guesswork.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack any goal data to back a strong opinion on the total line.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Melbourne Victory the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Melbourne Victory, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Melbourne Victory travel to Sky Stadium as favourites against Wellington Phoenix. The price of 2.10 offers enough value to back the visitors in this early season clash.

Form and momentum

Wellington Phoenix FC land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

Melbourne Victory land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for WEL, 25% for the draw and 44% for MVC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Melbourne Victory, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Wellington Phoenix have home advantage at Sky Stadium which always makes life difficult for visiting sides.
Both teams enter this contest with no prior results on record which makes predicting the outcome extremely tricky.

The bottom line

We back Melbourne Victory for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMVC +110

WEL3.05draw3.70MVC2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.