Wellington Phoenix FC v Central Coast Mariners tips

WEL

Wellington Phoenix FC

CCM

Central Coast Mariners

The model callWellington Phoenix FCMatch result1.83★★★★1 star

Wellington start at home with a fair price of 1.83 against Central Coast. Both squads arrive with no prior results on record for this new campaign.

Stake1 unit

That is$10

Returns$18.3

Profit$8.3

Why it might land

Wellington Phoenix FC play this opening match at their home ground of Sky Stadium where fans always expect a strong start.
The bookmakers offer a price of 1.83 on Wellington Phoenix FC to win which reflects the basic market expectation for the hosts.
Central Coast Mariners travel away for their first fixture of the season without any prior form to guide their early sharpness.

Why it might not

Wellington Phoenix FC enter this fixture with no results on record yet to prove their current squad cohesion or readiness.
Central Coast Mariners arrive with no results on record yet making their true competitive level an absolute mystery for bettors.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has played a fixture yet so guessing a clean sheet is pure guesswork.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack any scoring data from recent matches to support a firm total goals lean either way.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Wellington Phoenix FC the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Wellington Phoenix FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Wellington start at home with a fair price of 1.83 against Central Coast. Both squads arrive with no prior results on record for this new campaign.

Form and momentum

Wellington Phoenix FC land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

Central Coast Mariners land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for WEL, 25% for the draw and 24% for CCM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Wellington Phoenix FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC enter this fixture with no results on record yet to prove their current squad cohesion or readiness.
Central Coast Mariners arrive with no results on record yet making their true competitive level an absolute mystery for bettors.

The bottom line

We back Wellington Phoenix FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWEL -120

WEL1.83draw3.75CCM3.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.