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Betting tips › Championship ›  Watford v Lincoln City

 ChampionshipTue 3 Nov 19:45 UTCVicarage Road

Watford v Lincoln City tips

WATWatfordLLWLL
VS
LCNLincoln CityLWWLD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.83★★★★2 stars

We expect goals at Vicarage Road because both sides show very mixed defensive form in their recent matches. The price on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 offers decent value for this Championship clash.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Watford enter this match on a poor defensive run after suffering four defeats across their last five fixtures.
  • Lincoln City arrive with recent mixed results including two wins and a draw from their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.82 for over 2.5 total goals in this Tuesday night fixture.
Why it might not
  • Watford failed to secure any points in four of their last five recent league matches overall.
  • Lincoln City suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which tempers confidence in their attacking output.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent form for both clubs points towards goals at both ends of the pitch.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Watford the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals at Vicarage Road because both sides show very mixed defensive form in their recent matches. The price on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 offers decent value for this Championship clash.

Form and momentum

Watford come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Lincoln City come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 12 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for WAT, 27% for the draw and 33% for LCN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Watford failed to secure any points in four of their last five recent league matches overall.
  • Lincoln City suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which tempers confidence in their attacking output.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
WAT2.30draw3.40LCN2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WATWatford40 games on record
Won12
Drawn14
Lost14
  • Scored47and let in53
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
LCNLincoln City40 games on record
Won25
Drawn8
Lost7
  • Scored72and let in39
  • On the road12 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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