Betting tips › Championship › Watford v Burnley
ChampionshipSat 10 Oct 14:00 UTCVicarage Road
WatfordLLWLL
BurnleyDLDLDWe should see goals here because both back lines concede regularly in their recent fixtures. The price on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 gives us a fair entry point for this match.
Both defenses show enough vulnerabilities in their recent five game runs to suggest clean sheets will be rare.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Burnley the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see goals here because both back lines concede regularly in their recent fixtures. The price on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 gives us a fair entry point for this match.
Watford come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 32% for WAT, 26% for the draw and 42% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Watford40 games on recordBurnley40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model calls a draw here. Both back lines concede regularly so over 2.5 goals at 1.77 looks a fair entry. Burnley have struggled for a clinical edge lately with plenty of low scoring draws tho...