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Betting tips › League Two ›  Walsall v Port Vale

 League TwoSat 19 Sept 11:30 UTCBescot StadiumFinished

Walsall v Port Vale tips

WALWalsallDDDWD
2 : 0
PTVPort ValeWLLDD
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.87★★★★2 starsWon

Walsall draw far too many matches lately to trust them at that price. Expect a cagey affair at the Bescot Stadium with few clear chances.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Walsall come into this fixture after picking up four draws and just one solitary win from their last five league outings.
  • Port Vale arrive at the Bescot Stadium having also recorded two draws in their most recent five matches across the division.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.87 on under two point five goals which reflects how tight these encounters tend to be.
Why it might not
  • Port Vale did manage to secure a victory recently which proves they can find the net when given a proper opening.
  • Walsall have shown they can score in games even if those fixtures ultimately end up sharing the points at the final whistle.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

Stalemate specialists Walsall often struggle to break stubborn defences open during their long runs of draws.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Walsall the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Walsall draw far too many matches lately to trust them at that price. Expect a cagey affair at the Bescot Stadium with few clear chances.

Form and momentum

Walsall come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

Port Vale come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 4 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for WAL, 29% for the draw and 32% for PTV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Port Vale did manage to secure a victory recently which proves they can find the net when given a proper opening.
  • Walsall have shown they can score in games even if those fixtures ultimately end up sharing the points at the final whistle.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWAL +135
WAL2.35draw3.25PTV2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WALWalsall7 games on record
Won2
Drawn5
Lost0
  • Scored8and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDWD
PTVPort Vale40 games on record
Won9
Drawn10
Lost21
  • Scored31and let in56
  • On the road4 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Walsall or Port Vale for the draw?

The site model calls the draw here because Walsall draw too many games to trust at that price. Port Vale did win one recently though so they can score if they get an opening. What are you lot on for t...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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