Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  VVV-Venlo v Roda JC Kerkrade

 Eerste DivisieSun 4 Oct 12:30 UTCCovebo Stadium - De Koel

VVV-Venlo v Roda JC Kerkrade tips

VVVVVV-VenloLWWLW
VS
RJCRoda JC KerkradeWDWDD
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.54★★★★2 stars

Roda are hard to beat right now but they draw a lot and keep things tight. Expect a cautious match where goals are hard to find at either end.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30.8
Profit$10.8
Why it might land
  • Roda enter this fixture with a steady run of form that includes three draws from their last five outings
  • VVV Venlo have mixed results recently with three wins and two defeats showing they can struggle for consistency
  • The total goals line is set at 3.5 with the under priced at 1.54 reflecting expectations of a low scoring contest
Why it might not
  • VVV Venlo won three of their last five matches which proves they possess enough threat to break down stubborn defences
  • Roda managed two wins in their recent five games and could find a clinical edge to push the scoring past expectations
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

With Roda involved in so many tight draws it is easy to see one side failing to find the net.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes VVV-Venlo the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Roda are hard to beat right now but they draw a lot and keep things tight. Expect a cautious match where goals are hard to find at either end.

Form and momentum

VVV-Venlo come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Roda JC Kerkrade come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for VVV, 25% for the draw and 36% for RJC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.54, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • VVV Venlo won three of their last five matches which proves they possess enough threat to break down stubborn defences
  • Roda managed two wins in their recent five games and could find a clinical edge to push the scoring past expectations
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVVV +140
VVV2.40draw3.70RJC2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VVVVVV-Venlo7 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored18and let in10
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW
RJCRoda JC Kerkrade7 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost0
  • Scored9and let in4
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

VVV Venlo against Roda JC, who wins this?

The site model says a draw because Roda keep things tight and draw a lot. The worry is that Venlo won three of their last five and can break down stubborn defences. What are you all on for this one?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW