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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  Vitesse v NAC Breda

 Eerste DivisieSat 3 Oct 14:30 UTCGelreDome

Vitesse v NAC Breda tips

VITVitesseLWLWW
VS
NACNAC BredaWWLLD
The model callNAC BredaMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

NAC Breda are the favorites for a reason despite their recent wobbles in the league table. Vitesse have been inconsistent lately and I expect the visitors to edge this contest.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • NAC Breda are currently priced at 2.25 to win which reflects their status as the bookies favorites for this Saturday afternoon clash at the GelreDome in Arnhem.
  • The away side comes into this fixture following a win in their most recent match whereas Vitesse suffered a defeat in their latest outing in the league.
  • Vitesse have produced a mixed bag of results recently with three wins and two losses recorded across their last five matches played in the Eerste Divisie competition.
Why it might not
  • NAC Breda have struggled to find consistency lately as they have recorded two losses and one draw in their last five outings before this Saturday afternoon game.
  • The home side Vitesse will have the advantage of playing at the GelreDome where the crowd support often helps them push for a result against better opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough attacking intent in their recent runs to suggest that they will find the back of the net at least once today.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.61

The price of 1.61 for under 3.5 goals suggests that the market expects a tight match rather than a high scoring affair between these two sides.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes NAC Breda the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on NAC Breda, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. NAC Breda are the favorites for a reason despite their recent wobbles in the league table. Vitesse have been inconsistent lately and I expect the visitors to edge this contest.

Form and momentum

Vitesse come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

NAC Breda come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 2 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for VIT, 24% for the draw and 41% for NAC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • NAC Breda have struggled to find consistency lately as they have recorded two losses and one draw in their last five outings before this Saturday afternoon game.
  • The home side Vitesse will have the advantage of playing at the GelreDome where the crowd support often helps them push for a result against better opponents.
The bottom line

We back NAC Breda for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAC +125
VIT2.60draw3.90NAC2.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VITVitesse7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in10
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWW
NACNAC Breda40 games on record
Won9
Drawn12
Lost19
  • Scored50and let in72
  • On the road2 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

NAC Breda away at Vitesse. Who are you backing?

The site model fancies NAC Breda to edge this contest because they are the favorites for a reason despite some recent wobbles. On the other hand, Breda have struggled for consistency with two losses a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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