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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Vitória v Athletico-PR

 BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Manoel Barradas

Vitória v Athletico-PR tips

VITVitóriaLDWLL
VS
CAPAthletico-PRWDLDW
The model callAthletico-PRMatch result2.70★★★★1 star

Athletico PR arrive with slightly better recent momentum despite a mixed bag of results. Vitória are struggling badly for consistency and the away win price of 2.70 offers some temptation.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$27
Profit$17
Why it might land
  • Athletico PR managed to secure two wins across their last five matches while Vitória only picked up a single victory in that same period.
  • The hosts suffered three defeats in their last five outings which shows they are giving away too many points right now.
  • You can grab Athletico PR at a decent price of 2.70 to win this fixture on the road at Estadio Manoel Barradas.
Why it might not
  • Athletico PR have shown some vulnerability away from home with a recent draw and a defeat interrupting their winning moments.
  • Vitória are playing at home and even with poor form they remain dangerous enough to nick a point at 3.20.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither defence looks particularly secure based on their recent run of results across five matches.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have leaky recent records so goals could easily arrive despite the lack of official goal line pricing.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vitória the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Athletico-PR, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Athletico PR arrive with slightly better recent momentum despite a mixed bag of results. Vitória are struggling badly for consistency and the away win price of 2.70 offers some temptation.

Form and momentum

Vitória come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Athletico-PR come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for VIT, 29% for the draw and 34% for CAP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.70, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Athletico PR have shown some vulnerability away from home with a recent draw and a defeat interrupting their winning moments.
  • Vitória are playing at home and even with poor form they remain dangerous enough to nick a point at 3.20.
The bottom line

We back Athletico-PR for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVIT +150
VIT2.50draw3.20CAP2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VITVitória7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in11
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLL
CAPAthletico-PR7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored15and let in13
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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