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Betting tips › College Football ›  Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers

 College FootballFri 23 Oct 23:00 UTCScott Stadium

Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers tips

DUKEDuke Blue DevilsLLWWW
VS
UVAVirginia CavaliersLWLWL
The model callDuke Blue Devils +6.5Handicap1.93★★★★2 stars

Duke brings a strong four game winning run into Scott Stadium to face Virginia. The visitors look well priced with the six and a half point start.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.6
Profit$18.6
Why it might land
  • Duke arrives here on a very solid four game winning streak that proves they know how to get over the line in tight matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a generous six and a half point cushion for the away side considering their recent run of winning form.
  • Virginia has traded wins and losses evenly across their last five outings with an inconsistent alternating pattern of results.
Why it might not
  • Virginia managed to secure a win in their most recent fixture which shows they can still put together a strong performance on any given night.
  • Playing away at Scott Stadium always presents a tough challenge even for a visiting team that has won four matches in a row.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 53.5 pointsPrice 1.91

Both teams have been heavily involved in high scoring matches lately which makes the fifty three and a half line look reachable.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Virginia Cavaliers the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Duke Blue Devils +6.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Duke brings a strong four game winning run into Scott Stadium to face Virginia. The visitors look well priced with the six and a half point start.

Form and momentum

Virginia Cavaliers come in strong, winning 69% of 13 on record. 8 of their 9 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Duke Blue Devils come in strong, winning 67% of 12 on record. 3 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for UVA and 47% for DUKE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.93, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Virginia managed to secure a win in their most recent fixture which shows they can still put together a strong performance on any given night.
  • Playing away at Scott Stadium always presents a tough challenge even for a visiting team that has won four matches in a row.
The bottom line

We back Duke Blue Devils +6.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUVA -1.5
UVA -1.51.87DUKE +1.51.95over 47.51.95under 47.51.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

UVAVirginia Cavaliers13 games on record
Won9
Lost4
  • Scored468and let in281
  • At home8 winsfrom9
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL
DUKEDuke Blue Devils12 games on record
Won8
Lost4
  • Scored409and let in249
  • On the road3 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Duke or Virginia this weekend?

Duke are on a four game winning run and the site model likes them with the six and a half point start at Scott Stadium. Virginia did just win their last game though so they can still put in a decent s...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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