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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Vila Nova v Novorizontino

 Brazil Serie BSun 18 Oct 21:00 UTCEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Vila Nova v Novorizontino tips

VILVila NovaWWDWL
VS
NOVNovorizontinoDLDWW
The model callNovorizontinoMatch result2.60★★★★1 star

Novorizontino is priced slightly shorter at 2.60 and brings a solid unbeaten run into this match. Vila Nova plays at home and won three of their last five matches but this looks very tight.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$26
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Novorizontino comes into this fixture carrying a useful unbeaten run across their last two matches with consecutive wins before that sequence.
  • The away side is offered at a tempting price of 2.60 in the market which reflects a tight contest on the road.
  • Vila Nova suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which stops their momentum slightly despite winning three of their previous five.
Why it might not
  • Vila Nova has been generally difficult to beat at home recently having won three and drawn one of their last five fixtures.
  • Novorizontino had to settle for a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can drop points against stubborn opposition.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither team has shown enough attacking power lately to suggest both will find the net in this fixture.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show tight recent form which points toward a low scoring battle at Estdio Onsio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Novorizontino the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Novorizontino, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Novorizontino is priced slightly shorter at 2.60 and brings a solid unbeaten run into this match. Vila Nova plays at home and won three of their last five matches but this looks very tight.

Form and momentum

Vila Nova come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 5 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Novorizontino come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for VIL, 30% for the draw and 36% for NOV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vila Nova has been generally difficult to beat at home recently having won three and drawn one of their last five fixtures.
  • Novorizontino had to settle for a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can drop points against stubborn opposition.
The bottom line

We back Novorizontino for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNOV +160
VIL2.75draw3.10NOV2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VILVila Nova8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in6
  • At home5 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWL
NOVNovorizontino8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored17and let in7
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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