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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Vila Nova v Goiás

 Brazil Serie BThu 10 Sept 22:30 UTCEstádio Onésio Brasileiro AlvarengaFinished

Vila Nova v Goiás tips

VILVila NovaLWDW
2 : 0
GOIGoiásLWDL
The model callVila NovaMatch result2.00★★★★1 starWon

Vila Nova plays at home against Goias. The hosts edge the market here.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20
Profit$10
Why it might land
  • Vila Nova comes into this fixture with two wins from recent matches.
  • Goias has struggled for consistency after losing two of their past four.
  • Playing at home gives Vila Nova a slight edge in this derby.
Why it might not
  • Both sides show mixed recent form which makes this fixture very unpredictable.
  • The visitors can easily grab a draw if they defend deep enough.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

One side might fail to break down a stubborn defence on the night.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.50Won

Both teams often play tight matches without scoring too many goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vila Nova the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vila Nova, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Vila Nova plays at home against Goias. The hosts edge the market here.

Form and momentum

Vila Nova come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Goiás come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for VIL, 33% for the draw and 24% for GOI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vila Nova, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Both sides show mixed recent form which makes this fixture very unpredictable.
  • The visitors can easily grab a draw if they defend deep enough.
The bottom line

We back Vila Nova for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVIL +120
VIL2.20draw2.85GOI4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VILVila Nova4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDW
GOIGoiás4 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored3and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Vila Nova vs Goias who do you fancy?

The site model is calling a Vila Nova win at 2.05 as they edge the market at home. However both sides show mixed recent form which makes this fixture very unpredictable. What are you guys backing for ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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