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Betting tips › Champions League ›  VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid

 Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct 19:00 UTCMHPArena

VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid tips

VFBVfB StuttgartLLWWL
VS
ATMAtlético MadridWWWLL
The model callAtlético MadridMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Atletico Madrid arrive with three wins from their last five matches to face a Stuttgart side losing two matches on the bounce. The odds of 2.10 offer a fair price on the visitors taking the points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Atletico Madrid enter this fixture on the back of three victories from their past five matches across all competitions.
  • VfB Stuttgart struggle for consistency right now having suffered defeats in each of their last two outings.
  • The bookmakers price Atletico Madrid at 2.10 to win this Champions League fixture away from home.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Madrid lost their most recent two matches which shows their current form is far from bulletproof.
  • VfB Stuttgart won two matches before their recent slump and remain dangerous opponents on their own turf.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent scorelines for both teams feature several low scoring matches and clean sheets.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a heavy scoring run in their recent results to suggest four or more goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Madrid the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Madrid, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico Madrid arrive with three wins from their last five matches to face a Stuttgart side losing two matches on the bounce. The odds of 2.10 offer a fair price on the visitors taking the points.

Form and momentum

VfB Stuttgart come in solid, winning 51% of 39 on record. 14 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Atlético Madrid come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for VFB, 25% for the draw and 46% for ATM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Madrid, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Madrid lost their most recent two matches which shows their current form is far from bulletproof.
  • VfB Stuttgart won two matches before their recent slump and remain dangerous opponents on their own turf.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Madrid for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
VFB3.10draw3.60ATM2.15
SourceDraftKingsATM +110
VFB3.20draw3.90ATM2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VFBVfB Stuttgart39 games on record
Won20
Drawn8
Lost11
  • Scored80and let in59
  • At home14 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL
ATMAtlético Madrid40 games on record
Won20
Drawn6
Lost14
  • Scored71and let in54
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Stuttgart or Atletico tonight?

The site model goes for Atletico at 2.10 since they won three of their last five while Stuttgart lost two in a row. Still, Atletico lost their last two matches so they are hardly in bulletproof form. ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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