Betting tips › Serie A › Venezia v Napoli
Serie ASat 17 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Pier Luigi Penzo
VeneziaLLLLL
NapoliDWLLLNapoli arrive with terrible recent form and Venezia have lost five straight matches so expecting goals makes more sense than trusting either side to defend properly.
Venezia are in such poor scoring form that Napoli might easily keep a clean sheet away from home.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Napoli the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Napoli arrive with terrible recent form and Venezia have lost five straight matches so expecting goals makes more sense than trusting either side to defend properly.
Venezia come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.
Napoli come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 8 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 23% for VEN, 24% for the draw and 53% for NAP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Napoli, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Venezia6 games on recordNapoli40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model likes the draw here. The logic is that Napoli are in bad form and Venezia are losing every week so both defences look shaky. The worry is that Napoli have struggled to score lately whic...