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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Venados FC v Durango

 Liga de ExpansionSat 24 Oct 23:00 UTCEstadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero

Venados FC v Durango tips

VENVenados FCWLWLL
VS
DURDurangoWWLDD
The model callVenados FCMatch result2.10★★★★1 star

Venados play at home at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero against Durango in this Liga de Expansion fixture. We lean slightly toward the hosts at two point one to win this match.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$21
Profit$11
Why it might land
  • Venados play this home fixture at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero after securing a recent win in their latest run of matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of two point one for Venados to win this match which gives us a solid enough starting point.
  • Venados show alternating form with wins and losses recently, meaning they are due another victory based strictly on their sequence.
Why it might not
  • Venados suffered two defeats in their last three outings which shows they are far from reliable at the moment.
  • Durango arrive with decent momentum after going unbeaten across their last two fixtures including a win and two draws.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed defensive records in their recent matches which hints at goals for each team.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so we cannot back this total with any real confidence.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Venados FC the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Venados FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Venados play at home at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero against Durango in this Liga de Expansion fixture. We lean slightly toward the hosts at two point one to win this match.

Form and momentum

Venados FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Durango come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for VEN, 27% for the draw and 30% for DUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Venados FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Venados suffered two defeats in their last three outings which shows they are far from reliable at the moment.
  • Durango arrive with decent momentum after going unbeaten across their last two fixtures including a win and two draws.
The bottom line

We back Venados FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVEN +110
VEN2.10draw3.35DUR3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VENVenados FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored16and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL
DURDurango6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in4
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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