Betting tips › LaLiga › Valencia v Villarreal
LaLigaSat 24 Oct 16:30 UTCMestalla StadiumValencia v Villarreal tips
ValenciaLWLLL
VillarrealWWLLLVillarreal head to Mestalla with a price of 2.20 that looks fair given recent results. Valencia are struggling for wins after losing four of their last five matches.
- Villarreal arrive with two victories in their last five outings while Valencia have lost four matches in the same period of recent league fixtures.
- The bookmakers offer a price of 2.20 for an away victory which gives us a decent return on a side with better recent momentum.
- Valencia sit on a poor run of form featuring four defeats and only one win from their previous five matches in the competition.
- Villarreal suffered three consecutive defeats right before winning their last two games which shows they can be quite inconsistent on the road.
- Playing away at Mestalla is never straightforward even when the home side Valencia are going through a difficult patch of form.
Neither side has shown much defensive stability in their last five matches.
Both defenses have leaked goals freely during their recent losing streaks.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Villarreal the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Villarreal, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Villarreal head to Mestalla with a price of 2.20 that looks fair given recent results. Valencia are struggling for wins after losing four of their last five matches.
Valencia come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Villarreal come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 6 of their 22 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 31% for VAL, 26% for the draw and 43% for VIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Villarreal, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings VIL have had the better of it, 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
- Villarreal suffered three consecutive defeats right before winning their last two games which shows they can be quite inconsistent on the road.
- Playing away at Mestalla is never straightforward even when the home side Valencia are going through a difficult patch of form.
We back Villarreal for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Valencia40 games on record- Scored44and let in60
- At home6 winsfrom20
- Right now1 loss in a row
Villarreal40 games on record- Scored68and let in64
- On the road6 winsfrom22
- Right now2 wins in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
When these two have met
- Villarreal 2 : 1 Valencia22 Feb 2026 · LaLiga
- Valencia 0 : 2 Villarreal25 Oct 2025 · LaLiga
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.