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Betting tips › J1 League ›  V-Varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy 1969

 J1 LeagueSun 1 Nov 05:00 UTCPEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank

V-Varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy 1969 tips

VVNV-Varen NagasakiDWLDL
VS
TYKVTokyo Verdy 1969LDDLL
The model callV-Varen NagasakiMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Nagasaki are at home on Sunday at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank against Tokyo Verdy 1969. Both sides carry poor recent form into this fixture.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • Varen Nagasaki play this fixture at their home ground of PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank where they will try to improve on a recent run of form showing draw win loss draw loss.
  • The betting market lists Varen Nagasaki as favourites to win this match at a price of 2.40 which gives us a fair look at home.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 arrive with a winless sequence in their last five matches featuring results of loss draw draw loss and another loss.
Why it might not
  • Varen Nagasaki have struggled to find consistency lately with three winless results from their last five matches including two defeats.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 are priced at 2.95 to claim an away victory which means the market expects a competitive contest despite their poor form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have accumulated several low scoring results across their previous five outings.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a prolific scoring touch in their recent matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes V-Varen Nagasaki the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on V-Varen Nagasaki, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Nagasaki are at home on Sunday at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank against Tokyo Verdy 1969. Both sides carry poor recent form into this fixture.

Form and momentum

V-Varen Nagasaki come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for VVN, 30% for the draw and 32% for TYKV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Varen Nagasaki have struggled to find consistency lately with three winless results from their last five matches including two defeats.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 are priced at 2.95 to claim an away victory which means the market expects a competitive contest despite their poor form.
The bottom line

We back V-Varen Nagasaki for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVVN +140
VVN2.40draw3.15TYKV2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VVNV-Varen Nagasaki8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in15
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDL
TYKVTokyo Verdy 19698 games on record
Won0
Drawn4
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in12
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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