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Betting tips › Allsvenskan ›  Västerås SK v Malmö FF

 AllsvenskanSat 19 Sept 13:00 UTCHitachi Energy ArenaFinished

Västerås SK v Malmö FF tips

VASVästerås SKWLWDL
2 : 0
MALMalmö FFWDWLW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.65★★★★2 starsLost

We should see goals here because Malmo are priced at 2.10 to win despite a mixed recent run and Vasteras bring unpredictable form into this match. The total goals line sits at 1.65 for over 2.5 which points directly toward an open game on the artificial turf.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33
Profit$13
Why it might land
  • The price of 1.65 on over 2.5 goals shows the bookmakers expect an open match with plenty of attacking opportunities at Hitachi Energy Arena.
  • Vasteras SK enter this fixture with a very mixed sequence of recent results showing win loss win draw loss in their last five outings.
  • Malmo FF show a similarly fluctuating run of form with their latest five matches producing three wins one draw and one loss.
Why it might not
  • Malmo FF are priced at 2.10 to win which suggests they might try to control the tempo and keep things tight rather than chase a high scoring shootout.
  • The under 2.5 goals option is priced at 2.05 which means some judges expect a lower scoring contest than the short odds on over suggest.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both sides have shown enough inconsistency in their recent matches to suggest neither defence will keep a clean sheet.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Malmö FF the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see goals here because Malmo are priced at 2.10 to win despite a mixed recent run and Vasteras bring unpredictable form into this match. The total goals line sits at 1.65 for over 2.5 which points directly toward an open game on the artificial turf.

Form and momentum

Västerås SK come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Malmö FF come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for VAS, 26% for the draw and 44% for MAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Malmö FF, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Malmo FF are priced at 2.10 to win which suggests they might try to control the tempo and keep things tight rather than chase a high scoring shootout.
  • The under 2.5 goals option is priced at 2.05 which means some judges expect a lower scoring contest than the short odds on over suggest.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMAL +110
VAS3.05draw3.60MAL2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VASVästerås SK6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL
MALMalmö FF6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Vasteras v Malmo goals or draw?

Malmo are priced at 2.10 and Vasteras bring unpredictable form so the site model calls for goals and an open game. The worry is Malmo might try to control the tempo and keep things tight instead. What...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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