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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Vélez Sarsfield v Tigre

 Liga ProfesionalMon 21 Sept 00:30 UTCJosé AmalfitaniFinished

Vélez Sarsfield v Tigre tips

VELVélez SarsfieldDWDDD
3 : 2
TIGTigreLLDWD
The model callOver 1.5Total goals1.54★★★★2 starsWon

We are backing over one point five goals because Velez Sarsfield and Tigre often see tight scorelines shift quickly. Both sides need a lift from their recent draws and losses.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30.8
Profit$10.8
Why it might land
  • Velez Sarsfield enters this fixture after a string of draws that left them searching for a decisive breakthrough in attack.
  • Tigre travels to the Jose Amalfitani looking to bounce back immediately following their recent defeat in league action.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.54 for over one point five total goals which reflects a strong expectation of at least two goals.
Why it might not
  • Velez Sarsfield played out multiple draws recently which shows they can struggle to turn pressure into a high scoring match.
  • Tigre suffered recent losses and might set up defensively to avoid another damaging defeat on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both sides have shown vulnerabilities in their recent form that could lead to goals at both ends.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vélez Sarsfield the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We are backing over one point five goals because Velez Sarsfield and Tigre often see tight scorelines shift quickly. Both sides need a lift from their recent draws and losses.

Form and momentum

Vélez Sarsfield come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Tigre come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for VEL, 31% for the draw and 27% for TIG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vélez Sarsfield, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.54, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Velez Sarsfield played out multiple draws recently which shows they can struggle to turn pressure into a high scoring match.
  • Tigre suffered recent losses and might set up defensively to avoid another damaging defeat on the road.
The bottom line

We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVEL +120
VEL2.20draw2.95TIG3.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VELVélez Sarsfield6 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost0
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDD
TIGTigre6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Velez v Tigre goals or draw?

The site model calls the draw with over one point five goals because both need a lift and these two often see quick shifts. Velez have played out a lot of draws lately which suggests they might strugg...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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