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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Vélez Sarsfield v Platense

 Liga ProfesionalMon 5 Oct 22:00 UTCJosé Amalfitani

Vélez Sarsfield v Platense tips

VELVélez SarsfieldWDWDD
VS
PLAPlatenseLLDLW
The model callVélez SarsfieldMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Velez Sarsfield should use their steady run of form to beat Platense at home. The visitors come into this fixture carrying a poor sequence of recent results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Velez Sarsfield bring an unbeaten run of five matches into this game after picking up wins and draws in their recent fixtures.
  • Platense travel badly having suffered three defeats in their last five outings while only managing to secure a single victory.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.87 for Velez Sarsfield to win this match at the Jose Amalfitani stadium.
Why it might not
  • Velez Sarsfield have drawn three out of their last five matches which shows they sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
  • Platense managed to win their most recent fixture and might bring some unexpected momentum into this away match.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough defensive vulnerability recently for each team to find the net.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice 1.63

The total goals line of 1.5 looks reachable given the defensive lapses seen in recent weeks.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vélez Sarsfield the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vélez Sarsfield, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Velez Sarsfield should use their steady run of form to beat Platense at home. The visitors come into this fixture carrying a poor sequence of recent results.

Form and momentum

Vélez Sarsfield come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Platense come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for VEL, 30% for the draw and 20% for PLA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vélez Sarsfield, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Velez Sarsfield have drawn three out of their last five matches which shows they sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
  • Platense managed to win their most recent fixture and might bring some unexpected momentum into this away match.
The bottom line

We back Vélez Sarsfield for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVEL -115
VEL1.87draw3.05PLA4.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VELVélez Sarsfield7 games on record
Won2
Drawn5
Lost0
  • Scored10and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD
PLAPlatense7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in7
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Velez to beat Platense or avoid?

The site model calls Velez Sarsfield at 1.87 to use their steady form and beat Platense at home against the poor run of away results. Velez have drawn three of their last five though so they can strug...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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