Betting tips › Liga Profesional › Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza)
Liga ProfesionalSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTCJosé AmalfitaniVélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza) tips
Vélez SarsfieldWDWDD
Gimnasia (Mendoza)DLDWWVelez Sarsfield should use their steady run of form at home to break down Gimnasia and claim the three points at the Jose Amalfitani. The price of 1.77 offers a solid reward for backing the hosts against visitors who face a tough away test.
- Velez Sarsfield bring an unbeaten five match run into this fixture featuring two solid wins and three draws to keep their momentum steady.
- The bookmakers price Velez Sarsfield at 1.77 which gives us a fair return on a home side showing much more consistency than their opponents.
- Gimnasia arrive here after picking up two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can struggle heavily on the road.
- Velez Sarsfield have drawn three of their last five matches which suggests they sometimes struggle to turn good pressure into a winning goal.
- Gimnasia have managed two recent wins in their last five outings and could easily frustrate the hosts if they defend deep.
Given the recent draw heavy form of Velez Sarsfield it is hard to trust both sides to find the back of the net.
Both teams have seen plenty of tight scorelines recently which points towards a low scoring battle below the 2.5 line.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Vélez Sarsfield the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vélez Sarsfield, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Velez Sarsfield should use their steady run of form at home to break down Gimnasia and claim the three points at the Jose Amalfitani. The price of 1.77 offers a solid reward for backing the hosts against visitors who face a tough away test.
Vélez Sarsfield come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Gimnasia (Mendoza) come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 53% for VEL, 27% for the draw and 21% for GMZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vélez Sarsfield, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Velez Sarsfield have drawn three of their last five matches which suggests they sometimes struggle to turn good pressure into a winning goal.
- Gimnasia have managed two recent wins in their last five outings and could easily frustrate the hosts if they defend deep.
We back Vélez Sarsfield for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Vélez Sarsfield7 games on record- Scored10and let in8
- At home2 winsfrom3
- Right now1 win in a row
Gimnasia (Mendoza)7 games on record- Scored11and let in8
- On the road2 winsfrom4
- Right now1 draw in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.