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Betting tips › Serie B ›  US Avellino v Sampdoria

 Serie BFri 9 Oct 18:30 UTCPartenio

US Avellino v Sampdoria tips

AVEUS AvellinoLDWWL
VS
SAMSampdoriaWLLLD
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

Goals look hard to find here based on recent scoring trends and tight prices. Sampdoria struggles to win matches on the road while Avellino keeps things very cagey.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Sampdoria arrives here after a poor run of form that includes three recent losses and one solitary draw.
  • US Avellino shows mixed recent results with two wins and two defeats alongside a single draw in their last five matches.
  • The betting market lists the under line at a solid price of 1.74 which suggests a low scoring affair at the Partenio.
Why it might not
  • Sampdoria managed to win one of their last five outings which proves they can occasionally find the back of the net.
  • US Avellino has enough erratic form in their recent matches to make backing a low goal line a slight risk.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Sampdoria has lost three of their last five matches without scoring reliably on their travels.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sampdoria the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals look hard to find here based on recent scoring trends and tight prices. Sampdoria struggles to win matches on the road while Avellino keeps things very cagey.

Form and momentum

US Avellino come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sampdoria come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for AVE, 30% for the draw and 36% for SAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sampdoria managed to win one of their last five outings which proves they can occasionally find the back of the net.
  • US Avellino has enough erratic form in their recent matches to make backing a low goal line a slight risk.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAM +155
AVE2.75draw3.10SAM2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVEUS Avellino5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL
SAMSampdoria5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in9
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Avellino against Sampdoria. Where is the value?

Goals look hard to find here based on recent scoring trends and tight prices. Sampdoria struggles to win matches on the road while Avellino keeps things very cagey. The site model calls this a draw. S...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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