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Betting tips › Serie B ›  US Avellino v Pisa

 Serie BSun 1 Nov 14:00 UTCPartenio

US Avellino v Pisa tips

AVEUS AvellinoLDWWL
VS
PISPisaDLLWW
The model callPisaMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Pisa arrives with decent winning momentum despite recent bumps while Avellino struggles for consistency. The away price of 2.35 offers solid value for the better current form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Pisa comes into this fixture having secured two wins from their last five matches in the league.
  • US Avellino shows patchy form with three defeats recorded across their most recent five outings.
  • Pisa is available at a generous price of 2.35 to claim all three points on the road.
Why it might not
  • Pisa suffered two consecutive defeats before their recent wins which highlights their defensive vulnerability.
  • US Avellino has home advantage at the Partenio ground where anything can happen in Serie B.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough defensive questions to answer that one side might easily fail to score.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent attacking power recently to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Pisa the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Pisa, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Pisa arrives with decent winning momentum despite recent bumps while Avellino struggles for consistency. The away price of 2.35 offers solid value for the better current form.

Form and momentum

US Avellino come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Pisa come in poor, winning 10% of 40 on record. 1 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for AVE, 29% for the draw and 40% for PIS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Pisa suffered two consecutive defeats before their recent wins which highlights their defensive vulnerability.
  • US Avellino has home advantage at the Partenio ground where anything can happen in Serie B.
The bottom line

We back Pisa for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPIS +135
AVE3.00draw3.20PIS2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVEUS Avellino5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL
PISPisa40 games on record
Won4
Drawn12
Lost24
  • Scored31and let in76
  • On the road1 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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