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Betting tips › Serie B ›  US Avellino v Palermo

 Serie BSun 13 Sept 15:15 UTCPartenioFinished

US Avellino v Palermo tips

AVEUS AvellinoWWL
1 : 1
PALPalermoWWWW
The model callPalermoMatch result2.05★★★★2 starsLost

Palermo are in great form with four straight wins lately. Avellino face a tough task despite their decent recent results at home.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Palermo have won four matches in a row coming into this away trip
  • The visitors are clearly the form side in the league right now today
  • A price of two point zero five offers value for the better team
Why it might not
  • Avellino have won their last two games and possess strong home match momentum
  • Partenio is a difficult place for visiting teams to get three points regularly
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Palermo could keep a clean sheet if they control the midfield battle early.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71Won

These sides might play a tight game given the pressure of the fixture.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Palermo the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Palermo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Palermo are in great form with four straight wins lately. Avellino face a tough task despite their decent recent results at home.

Form and momentum

US Avellino come in strong, winning 67% of 3 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Palermo come in strong, winning 100% of 4 on record. 1 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for AVE, 28% for the draw and 47% for PAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Palermo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Avellino have won their last two games and possess strong home match momentum
  • Partenio is a difficult place for visiting teams to get three points regularly
The bottom line

We back Palermo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
AVE4.00draw3.40PAL1.91
SourceDraftKingsPAL +100
AVE3.85draw3.35PAL2.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVEUS Avellino3 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored5and let in2
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWL
PALPalermo4 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored12and let in5
  • On the road1 winsfrom1
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Palermo to win at Avellino?

The site model goes for Palermo at two point zero five because they have won four on the bounce. Avellino are tough at home though and they won their last two matches. What is everyone on for this gam...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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