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Betting tips › Serie B ›  US Avellino v Padova

 Serie BSat 24 Oct 13:00 UTCPartenio

US Avellino v Padova tips

AVEUS AvellinoLDWWL
VS
PADPadovaLWLDW
The model callUS AvellinoMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Avellino return to their home ground to host Padova this weekend. The hosts look good value at two point fifteen given their recent run of results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • US Avellino hold home advantage at the Partenio stadium for this Serie B fixture against Padova on Saturday afternoon.
  • The hosts bring two recent victories into this match from their last five outings despite slipping up in their latest fixture.
  • The betting market prices US Avellino at two point fifteen to win which offers a fair return on their current form.
Why it might not
  • Padova arrive with mixed form including two wins and a draw from their last five matches which makes them dangerous opponents.
  • US Avellino suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which leaves lingering doubts about their defensive stability.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads display enough fluctuation in recent results to suggest either side might find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither team shows a consistent scoring pattern to back a firm total goals prediction here.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes US Avellino the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on US Avellino, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Avellino return to their home ground to host Padova this weekend. The hosts look good value at two point fifteen given their recent run of results.

Form and momentum

US Avellino come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Padova come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for AVE, 28% for the draw and 28% for PAD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward US Avellino, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Padova arrive with mixed form including two wins and a draw from their last five matches which makes them dangerous opponents.
  • US Avellino suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which leaves lingering doubts about their defensive stability.
The bottom line

We back US Avellino for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAVE +115
AVE2.15draw3.35PAD3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVEUS Avellino5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL
PADPadova5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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