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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Universidad de Concepción v Deportes Limache

 Primera DivisionSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

Universidad de Concepción v Deportes Limache tips

UDECUniversidad de ConcepciónLLWL
VS
LIMDeportes LimacheLWWLW
The model callDeportes LimacheMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Deportes Limache arrive in better general form than the hosts and the odds offer decent value on the away win. Universidad de Concepcion struggle for consistency and sit behind their opponents based on recent results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Deportes Limache have secured three wins from their last five outings while showing they can pick up victories on the road.
  • Universidad de Concepcion have suffered three defeats in their last four matches which highlights their ongoing struggles for points.
  • Deportes Limache are priced at 2.35 to win which offers a solid return given the contrasting recent runs of both sides.
Why it might not
  • Deportes Limache lost their most recent fixture which introduces a slight question mark over their momentum coming into this match.
  • Universidad de Concepcion have home advantage at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo and will fight hard to reverse their poor form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent defensive records suggest both sides might find the back of the net during the ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities across their recent matches which points towards a game with at least three goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportes Limache the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Deportes Limache, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportes Limache arrive in better general form than the hosts and the odds offer decent value on the away win. Universidad de Concepcion struggle for consistency and sit behind their opponents based on recent results.

Form and momentum

Universidad de Concepción come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Deportes Limache come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for UDEC, 27% for the draw and 39% for LIM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportes Limache lost their most recent fixture which introduces a slight question mark over their momentum coming into this match.
  • Universidad de Concepcion have home advantage at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo and will fight hard to reverse their poor form.
The bottom line

We back Deportes Limache for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLIM +135
UDEC2.70draw3.45LIM2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

UDECUniversidad de Concepción4 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom1
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWL
LIMDeportes Limache5 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in5
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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