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Betting tips › Europa League ›  Union St.-Gilloise v Real Sociedad

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 16:45 UTCKing Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Union St.-Gilloise v Real Sociedad tips

USGUnion St.-GilloiseWWWWW
VS
RSOReal SociedadWLLWD
The model callUnion St.-GilloiseMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Union St Gilloise bring a strong five match winning run into this home fixture. Real Sociedad arrive with mixed form including two recent losses.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Union St Gilloise have won five matches in a row coming into this Europa League fixture at Den Dreef Stadion.
  • Real Sociedad have suffered two defeats across their last five outings which shows some vulnerability on the road.
  • Union St Gilloise are offered at a solid price of 2.30 to win this match on home turf.
Why it might not
  • Real Sociedad showed they can still pick up points when they secured a draw in their most recent match.
  • Real Sociedad are priced at 2.90 to win which suggests they possess enough quality to cause an upset.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the back of the net given the recent attacking displays from the hosts.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

The price for over 2.5 goals is 1.69 because both sides often feature in high scoring games.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Union St.-Gilloise the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Union St.-Gilloise, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Union St Gilloise bring a strong five match winning run into this home fixture. Real Sociedad arrive with mixed form including two recent losses.

Form and momentum

Union St.-Gilloise come in strong, winning 63% of 16 on record. 3 of their 7 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 6 wins in a row.

Real Sociedad come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for USG, 27% for the draw and 32% for RSO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Real Sociedad showed they can still pick up points when they secured a draw in their most recent match.
  • Real Sociedad are priced at 2.90 to win which suggests they possess enough quality to cause an upset.
The bottom line

We back Union St.-Gilloise for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
USG2.30draw3.60RSO2.80
SourceDraftKingsUSG +130
USG2.30draw3.50RSO2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

USGUnion St.-Gilloise16 games on record
Won10
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored32and let in20
  • At home3 winsfrom7
  • Right now6 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW
RSOReal Sociedad40 games on record
Won13
Drawn12
Lost15
  • Scored63and let in67
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Union St Gilloise or Sociedad?

Union St Gilloise come here on a five match winning run at home. Real Sociedad have mixed form with two recent losses though they did draw last time out. The site model calls Union to win this one. Wh...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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