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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Unión (Santa Fe) v Estudiantes de La Plata

 Liga ProfesionalSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTC15 de Abril

Unión (Santa Fe) v Estudiantes de La Plata tips

USFUnión (Santa Fe)LLWWW
VS
ESTEstudiantes de La PlataDLWLD
The model callUnión (Santa Fe)Match result2.65★★★★2 stars

Union carry solid winning momentum into this home fixture despite a couple of recent setbacks. Estudiantes arrive with patchy away form and struggle to string results together consistently.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$53
Profit$33
Why it might land
  • Union enter this match after putting together a strong run of three recent victories despite suffering two losses just before.
  • Estudiantes have struggled to find consistency across their last five fixtures by recording two draws, two losses and only one solitary win.
  • The market prices Union at 2.65 to win at home which offers decent value given their recent sequence of three wins from five.
Why it might not
  • Union stumbled in their last two outings by losing both matches which proves they remain vulnerable to sudden drops in form.
  • Estudiantes managed to pick up a draw in their most recent fixture showing they can dig in and avoid defeat on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams display enough defensive resistance and patchy attacking form to make a clean sheet for either side quite possible.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring punch recently to suggest a high scoring match is likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Unión (Santa Fe) the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Unión (Santa Fe), and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Union carry solid winning momentum into this home fixture despite a couple of recent setbacks. Estudiantes arrive with patchy away form and struggle to string results together consistently.

Form and momentum

Unión (Santa Fe) come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Estudiantes de La Plata come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for USF, 30% for the draw and 34% for EST once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Union stumbled in their last two outings by losing both matches which proves they remain vulnerable to sudden drops in form.
  • Estudiantes managed to pick up a draw in their most recent fixture showing they can dig in and avoid defeat on the road.
The bottom line

We back Unión (Santa Fe) for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUSF +165
USF2.65draw3.05EST2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

USFUnión (Santa Fe)7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored13and let in11
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW
ESTEstudiantes de La Plata8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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