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Betting tips › Liga FUTVE ›  UCV FC v Portuguesa

 Liga FUTVESun 18 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Olímpico de la UCV

UCV FC v Portuguesa tips

UCVUCV FCDWWDD
VS
PORPortuguesaLWDDD
The model callUCV FCMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

UCV FC are holding onto a steady unbeaten run in the league and look well placed to edge past Portuguesa at the Estadio Olímpico. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts on home turf.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • The home side enter this fixture carrying an unbeaten sequence of two draws followed by two wins and another two draws in their most recent league outings.
  • Portuguesa make the trip to Caracas having suffered a defeat in their latest match alongside a mixed bag of results that includes three recent stalemates.
  • Bookmakers are offering an even money price of two point zero zero for a UCV FC victory which reflects a fair chance for the hosts.
Why it might not
  • UCV FC have drawn too many matches lately with three stalemates in their last five fixtures which could easily lead to another shared point here.
  • Portuguesa proved they can pick up points on their travels by securing three draws and a win across their previous five matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent defensive vulnerabilities for both sides suggest there could be goals at each end of the pitch.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have been involved in plenty of tight low scoring fixtures recently so a quiet match is quite possible.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes UCV FC the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on UCV FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. UCV FC are holding onto a steady unbeaten run in the league and look well placed to edge past Portuguesa at the Estadio Olímpico. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts on home turf.

Form and momentum

UCV FC come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Portuguesa come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for UCV, 28% for the draw and 27% for POR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward UCV FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • UCV FC have drawn too many matches lately with three stalemates in their last five fixtures which could easily lead to another shared point here.
  • Portuguesa proved they can pick up points on their travels by securing three draws and a win across their previous five matches.
The bottom line

We back UCV FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUCV +100
UCV2.00draw3.20POR3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

UCVUCV FC7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWDD
PORPortuguesa7 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

UCV FC vs Portuguesa on home turf

The site model likes UCV FC at two point zero zero because they are on an unbeaten run at home. But they have drawn three of their last five games so another stalemate is on the cards. The site model ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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