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Betting tips › Austrian Bundesliga ›  TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau

 Austrian BundesligaSun 11 Oct 12:30 UTCProfertil Arena

TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau tips

HARTSV HartbergDDWWL
VS
ALUAustria LustenauWLLDW
The model callTSV HartbergMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Hartberg have enough recent momentum to claim three points on home turf against Lustenau. The price on the hosts looks fair given their solid sequence of results recently.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • TSV Hartberg return to their home ground carrying some decent winning momentum after taking two victories from their last five matches in the league.
  • Austria Lustenau travel away having recorded two losses alongside a draw in their most recent five fixtures across the Austrian Bundesliga.
  • The bookmakers offer a very backable price of.05 for TSV Hartberg to win this fixture outright at the Profertil Arena.
Why it might not
  • TSV Hartberg did stumble in their most recent outing when they suffered a defeat which shakes up their form coming into this weekend.
  • Austria Lustenau proved they can bite back on their travels by securing a win and a draw within their last five fixtures.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded results quite frequently lately so expect chances at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.74

A price of 1.74 for over 2.5 goals appeals because both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes TSV Hartberg the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on TSV Hartberg, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Hartberg have enough recent momentum to claim three points on home turf against Lustenau. The price on the hosts looks fair given their solid sequence of results recently.

Form and momentum

TSV Hartberg come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Austria Lustenau come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for HAR, 26% for the draw and 29% for ALU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward TSV Hartberg, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • TSV Hartberg did stumble in their most recent outing when they suffered a defeat which shakes up their form coming into this weekend.
  • Austria Lustenau proved they can bite back on their travels by securing a win and a draw within their last five fixtures.
The bottom line

We back TSV Hartberg for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHAR +105
HAR2.05draw3.55ALU3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HARTSV Hartberg6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWWL
ALUAustria Lustenau6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in10
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Hartberg or Lustenau this weekend?

The site model fancies Hartberg at two point zero five to get the job done on home turf. They have some decent momentum lately. The worry is that they slipped up in their last game. What are you all o...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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