Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga › TSV Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel

2. BundesligaFri 9 Oct 16:30 UTCEintracht-Stadion

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel tips

EBS

TSV Eintracht BraunschweigLDLLL

KSV

Holstein KielDLDLD

The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.54★★★★2 stars

Braunschweig cannot buy a goal right now and Holstein Kiel keep drawing low scoring matches. Neither side shows any attacking spark in their recent results.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$30.8

Profit$10.8

Why it might land

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig come into this match on the back of four defeats in their last five outings while struggling badly for goals.
Holstein Kiel have managed consecutive draws in a run where goals are hard to find and their matches stay very tight.
The betting market lists the total goals line at 3.5 with the under priced at a very reasonable 1.54 based on recent scoring trends.

Why it might not

Holstein Kiel are priced at 2.35 to win away from home which suggests the bookmakers think they might finally break their scoring drought.
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig play at home in the Eintracht Stadion where desperate sides often throw caution to the wind and score.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Braunschweig lose repeatedly without scoring and Kiel are far too involved in low scoring draws to trust both teams.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Holstein Kiel the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Braunschweig cannot buy a goal right now and Holstein Kiel keep drawing low scoring matches. Neither side shows any attacking spark in their recent results.

Form and momentum

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Holstein Kiel come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for EBS, 26% for the draw and 39% for KSV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.54, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Holstein Kiel are priced at 2.35 to win away from home which suggests the bookmakers think they might finally break their scoring drought.
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig play at home in the Eintracht Stadion where desperate sides often throw caution to the wind and score.

The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsKSV +135

EBS2.60draw3.60KSV2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

EBS

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig6 games on record

Won1

Drawn1

Lost4

Scored12and let in13
At home0 winsfrom3
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLDLLL

KSV

Holstein Kiel6 games on record

Won0

Drawn4

Lost2

Scored7and let in10
On the roadno winsfrom3
Right now1 draw in a row

Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Braunschweig v Kiel, any goals in this?

Braunschweig cannot buy a goal right now and Kiel keep drawing low scoring matches without any real spark. The site model calls for a draw here. The counter argument is that Kiel are priced at 2.35 aw...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.