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Betting tips › Europa League ›  TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon

 Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct 19:00 UTCPreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon tips

TSGTSG HoffenheimLLWLL
VS
LYONLyonWWDWD
The model callLyonMatch result3.40★★★★1 star

Lyon arrive in solid form while Hoffenheim keep losing matches in bundles. The away price of 3.40 gives us a decent run at an upset.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$34
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Lyon bring an impressive recent form run of three wins and two draws into this tricky away fixture.
  • TSG Hoffenheim sit on a miserable run of four defeats and just one single victory from their last five matches.
  • The generous price of 3.40 for Lyon to win offers plenty of value against a struggling home side.
Why it might not
  • Lyon have also recorded two draws in their last five outings which shows they can sometimes fail to finish teams off.
  • TSG Hoffenheim will have the backing of their home crowd at the PreZero Arena and desperate to halt their losing streak.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Lyon score regularly on their travels while Hoffenheim need to attack to fix their poor run.

Total goalsOver 3.25 goalsPrice 2.03

Both sides have shown enough defensive vulnerability recently to push this past the 3.25 goal line.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes TSG Hoffenheim the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Lyon, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Lyon arrive in solid form while Hoffenheim keep losing matches in bundles. The away price of 3.40 gives us a decent run at an upset.

Form and momentum

TSG Hoffenheim come in solid, winning 49% of 39 on record. 11 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Lyon come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for TSG, 24% for the draw and 28% for LYON once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward TSG Hoffenheim, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lyon have also recorded two draws in their last five outings which shows they can sometimes fail to finish teams off.
  • TSG Hoffenheim will have the backing of their home crowd at the PreZero Arena and desperate to halt their losing streak.
The bottom line

We back Lyon for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
TSG1.95draw3.90LYON3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TSGTSG Hoffenheim39 games on record
Won19
Drawn7
Lost13
  • Scored72and let in64
  • At home11 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
LYONLyon40 games on record
Won22
Drawn8
Lost10
  • Scored65and let in43
  • On the road8 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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