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Betting tips › Europa League ›  TSG Hoffenheim v Besiktas

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 19:00 UTCPreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim v Besiktas tips

TSGTSG HoffenheimLLWLL
VS
BESBesiktasLWWWW
The model callOver 3.5Total goals2.10★★★★2 stars

We expect goals to flow freely at the PreZero Arena because Besiktas arrive in red hot form and Hoffenheim desperately need a result to turn around a poor run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Besiktas come into this match riding high after stringing together four wins in a row across their recent fixtures.
  • TSG Hoffenheim are struggling for defensive stability right now having suffered four defeats from their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.10 on over 3.5 goals for punters willing to back a high scoring European night.
Why it might not
  • The total goals line is set quite high at 3.5 which means both sides need to contribute heavily to the scoreline.
  • TSG Hoffenheim managed just one solitary win in their last five matches which creates some doubt about their scoring power.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net since the hosts leaked plenty of goals recently while the visitors are full of confidence.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes TSG Hoffenheim the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals to flow freely at the PreZero Arena because Besiktas arrive in red hot form and Hoffenheim desperately need a result to turn around a poor run.

Form and momentum

TSG Hoffenheim come in solid, winning 49% of 39 on record. 11 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Besiktas come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for TSG, 24% for the draw and 28% for BES once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward TSG Hoffenheim, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The total goals line is set quite high at 3.5 which means both sides need to contribute heavily to the scoreline.
  • TSG Hoffenheim managed just one solitary win in their last five matches which creates some doubt about their scoring power.
The bottom line

We back Over 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
TSG1.90draw3.90BES3.50
SourceDraftKingsTSG -105
TSG1.95draw3.95BES3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TSGTSG Hoffenheim39 games on record
Won19
Drawn7
Lost13
  • Scored72and let in64
  • At home11 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
BESBesiktas7 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored18and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Hoffenheim v Besiktas, goals or a draw?

Our site model calls the draw here. We expect goals because Besiktas are in hot form and Hoffenheim need a win badly. The catch is the goals line sits high at 3.5 so both teams need to fire. What are ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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