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Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen

 BundesligaSun 25 Oct 14:30 UTCPreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen tips

TSGTSG HoffenheimLLWLL
VS
B04Bayer LeverkusenWWDWL
The model callBayer LeverkusenMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Bayer Leverkusen look the better side to back here despite playing away from home. Their recent run of form includes three wins and a draw from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Bayer Leverkusen come into this fixture with solid momentum after securing three wins and a single draw from their last five matches.
  • TSG Hoffenheim are struggling badly for consistency right now having lost four of their last five matches in the Bundesliga.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.30 on an away win for Bayer Leverkusen considering the contrasting recent form of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Bayer Leverkusen suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which shows they are certainly capable of slipping up on the road.
  • Playing away at the PreZero Arena is never straightforward and TSG Hoffenheim will be desperate to turn their poor run around.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Given the poor defensive records in recent fixtures both sides should manage to find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive frailties recently which points towards an open game with plenty of goalmouth action.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Bayer Leverkusen the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Bayer Leverkusen, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Bayer Leverkusen look the better side to back here despite playing away from home. Their recent run of form includes three wins and a draw from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

TSG Hoffenheim come in solid, winning 49% of 39 on record. 11 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Bayer Leverkusen come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for TSG, 24% for the draw and 40% for B04 once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings TSG hold the edge with 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Bayer Leverkusen suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which shows they are certainly capable of slipping up on the road.
  • Playing away at the PreZero Arena is never straightforward and TSG Hoffenheim will be desperate to turn their poor run around.
The bottom line

We back Bayer Leverkusen for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
TSG2.88draw3.75B042.30
SourceDraftKingsB04 +130
TSG2.60draw3.80B042.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TSGTSG Hoffenheim39 games on record
Won19
Drawn7
Lost13
  • Scored72and let in64
  • At home11 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
B04Bayer Leverkusen40 games on record
Won19
Drawn10
Lost11
  • Scored73and let in48
  • On the road9 winsfrom21
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

2TSG wins
0drawn
0B04 wins
  • TSG Hoffenheim 1 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen17 Jan 2026 · Bundesliga
  • Bayer Leverkusen 1 : 2 TSG Hoffenheim23 Aug 2025 · Bundesliga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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