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Betting tips › Ligue 1 ›  Troyes v Strasbourg

 Ligue 1Sun 6 Sept 13:00 UTCStade de l'AubeFinished

Troyes v Strasbourg tips

TRYTroyesWD
2 : 6
STRStrasbourgWLWWD
The model callDrawMatch result3.50★★★★1 starLost

Both teams enter this fixture without any recorded form on the board. The tight market prices suggest a shared point is a sensible call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$35
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers price this fixture as a very closely matched contest.
  • Neither side has built any positive momentum on the official record.
  • A single point suits both teams early in the league campaign.
Why it might not
  • Strasbourg carry slight favouritism in the betting market to win away.
  • Troyes hold home advantage at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Strasbourg the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both teams enter this fixture without any recorded form on the board. The tight market prices suggest a shared point is a sensible call.

Form and momentum

Troyes come in solid, winning 50% of 2 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Strasbourg come in patchy, winning 44% of 36 on record. 6 of their 18 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for TRY, 28% for the draw and 39% for STR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Strasbourg carry slight favouritism in the betting market to win away.
  • Troyes hold home advantage at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTR +145
TRY2.90draw3.40STR2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TRYTroyes2 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored2and let in1
  • At home0 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWD
STRStrasbourg36 games on record
Won16
Drawn8
Lost12
  • Scored60and let in52
  • On the road6 winsfrom18
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Troyes against Strasbourg, anyone backing the draw?

The site model is calling the draw at 3.50. Neither side has any form on the board yet and the tight market makes a shared point look sensible. The main counter is that Strasbourg carry slight favouri...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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