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Betting tips › Ligue 1 ›  Troyes v Marseille

 Ligue 1Sun 11 Oct 18:45 UTCStade de l'Aube

Troyes v Marseille tips

TRYTroyesLLLWD
VS
OLMMarseilleLLLLL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.57★★★★2 stars

Marseille arrive on a terrible run of five straight defeats and Troyes have lost three of their last five matches. That terrible defending from both sides makes backing over two and a half goals at one point fifty seven a sensible play.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.4
Profit$11.4
Why it might land
  • Marseille come into this match after suffering five consecutive defeats in their recent league outings.
  • Troyes have struggled for consistency by losing three out of their last five matches in the competition.
  • The price of one point fifty seven for over two and a half goals offers a solid angle on these defensive frailties.
Why it might not
  • Troyes did manage to win one and draw one of their last five fixtures which could frustrate the visitors.
  • Marseille are priced at one point eight seven to win so the market still respects their overall squad quality.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither team can keep a clean sheet given their recent losses across the board.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Marseille the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Marseille arrive on a terrible run of five straight defeats and Troyes have lost three of their last five matches. That terrible defending from both sides makes backing over two and a half goals at one point fifty seven a sensible play.

Form and momentum

Troyes come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Marseille come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for TRY, 25% for the draw and 50% for OLM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Marseille, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.57, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Troyes did manage to win one and draw one of their last five fixtures which could frustrate the visitors.
  • Marseille are priced at one point eight seven to win so the market still respects their overall squad quality.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
TRY3.75draw3.75OLM1.91
SourceDraftKingsOLM -115
TRY3.70draw3.80OLM1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TRYTroyes5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in11
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD
OLMMarseille40 games on record
Won17
Drawn5
Lost18
  • Scored65and let in64
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Troyes vs Marseille goals or avoid?

Marseille are on five straight losses and Troyes lost three of their last five so the site model calls the draw and over two and a half goals at one point fifty seven. Troyes did win one and draw one ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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