Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Premier League ›  Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa

 Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept 11:30 UTCTottenham Hotspur StadiumFinished

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa tips

TOTTottenham HotspurLDDLW
2 : 3
AVLAston VillaWLWDL
The model callTottenham HotspurMatch result1.95★★★★2 starsLost

Tottenham hold the home advantage at the stadium and the price of 1.95 looks fair for them to take the points. Their form is inconsistent but they remain a difficult side to beat in North London.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Tottenham Hotspur are playing at home where they have the backing of their crowd and a decent price of 1.95 to secure a win against Aston Villa.
  • The recent form shows Tottenham Hotspur managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches which gives them a slight edge over the visiting team.
  • Aston Villa have struggled for consistency in their recent run of form with two losses in their last five matches making them vulnerable on the road.
Why it might not
  • Tottenham Hotspur have been inconsistent lately with a draw and two losses in their last five matches suggesting they are not at their most reliable right now.
  • Aston Villa showed they can win games by taking a victory in their most recent match which proves they have the ability to cause an upset here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their recent matches which makes it very likely that both teams will find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71Won

Both sides have shown they can score goals recently and the price of 1.71 for over 2.5 goals represents decent value for a high scoring encounter.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Tottenham Hotspur the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Tottenham Hotspur, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Tottenham hold the home advantage at the stadium and the price of 1.95 looks fair for them to take the points. Their form is inconsistent but they remain a difficult side to beat in North London.

Form and momentum

Tottenham Hotspur come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Aston Villa come in solid, winning 53% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for TOT, 26% for the draw and 26% for AVL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Tottenham Hotspur, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Tottenham Hotspur have been inconsistent lately with a draw and two losses in their last five matches suggesting they are not at their most reliable right now.
  • Aston Villa showed they can win games by taking a victory in their most recent match which proves they have the ability to cause an upset here.
The bottom line

We back Tottenham Hotspur for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTOT +100
TOT2.00draw3.65AVL3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TOTTottenham Hotspur40 games on record
Won10
Drawn11
Lost19
  • Scored52and let in70
  • At home6 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLW
AVLAston Villa40 games on record
Won21
Drawn7
Lost12
  • Scored63and let in55
  • On the road9 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1TOT wins
0drawn
1AVL wins
  • Aston Villa 1 : 2 Tottenham Hotspur3 May 2026 · Premier League
  • Tottenham Hotspur 1 : 2 Aston Villa19 Oct 2025 · Premier League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Spurs v Villa, will home form win it?

The site model has Tottenham at two to one to take the points with home advantage in North London. Form has been a bit dodgy lately though with two losses and a draw in the last five. Are you having a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW