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Betting tips › MLS ›  Toronto FC v CF Montréal

 MLSSat 10 Oct 17:00 UTCBMO Field

Toronto FC v CF Montréal tips

TORToronto FCLLLWD
VS
MTLCF MontréalWLLLL
The model callToronto FCMatch result1.91★★★★1 star

Toronto FC are priced at 1.91 to win at home against CF Montreal despite losing three of their last five matches. Both sides bring poor recent form into this clash at BMO Field.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$19.1
Profit$9.1
Why it might land
  • Toronto FC are playing at home at BMO Field where they hold a price of 1.91 to secure a much needed victory against struggling opponents.
  • CF Montreal arrive in terrible form having lost four of their last five matches including four consecutive defeats on the road.
  • The betting market clearly favors Toronto FC at 1.91 to bounce back from their recent run of three consecutive losses.
Why it might not
  • Toronto FC come into this fixture on a poor run of form that includes three straight losses followed by just one win and a draw.
  • CF Montreal managed a recent win in their last five matches which shows they can still spring a surprise despite losing four times.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams are struggling so badly for goals lately that one side might well fail to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring power in their recent matches to suggest four or more goals will happen.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Toronto FC the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Toronto FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Toronto FC are priced at 1.91 to win at home against CF Montreal despite losing three of their last five matches. Both sides bring poor recent form into this clash at BMO Field.

Form and momentum

Toronto FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

CF Montréal come in poor, winning 22% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for TOR, 25% for the draw and 27% for MTL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Toronto FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Toronto FC come into this fixture on a poor run of form that includes three straight losses followed by just one win and a draw.
  • CF Montreal managed a recent win in their last five matches which shows they can still spring a surprise despite losing four times.
The bottom line

We back Toronto FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTOR -110
TOR1.91draw3.75MTL3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TORToronto FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored15and let in19
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD
MTLCF Montréal9 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored10and let in19
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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