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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  TOP Oss v Jong Ajax

 Eerste DivisieFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTCFrans Heesen Stadion

TOP Oss v Jong Ajax tips

TOPTOP OssLWLLW
VS
JAJJong AjaxDLLWD
The model callTOP OssMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

TOP Oss should take three points at home because their recent form shows occasional wins while Jong Ajax keeps struggling. The price of 2.05 gives us a decent reason to back the hosts at the Frans Heesen Stadion.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • TOP Oss grabbed two wins in their last five matches to show they can put three points together on their own turf.
  • Jong Ajax comes into this fixture on a poor run of form that includes two recent losses and only draws to rescue them.
  • The bookmakers offer TOP Oss at a fair price of 2.05 to win this match which makes the home side worth backing.
Why it might not
  • TOP Oss also suffered three defeats in their last five matches which proves they are far from reliable week in and week out.
  • Jong Ajax managed to pick up a draw in their latest outing and could frustrate the hosts just enough to share the spoils.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities in their recent results which suggests we might see goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the 3.5 total goals line so this is just a speculative lean based on unpredictable youth football.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes TOP Oss the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on TOP Oss, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. TOP Oss should take three points at home because their recent form shows occasional wins while Jong Ajax keeps struggling. The price of 2.05 gives us a decent reason to back the hosts at the Frans Heesen Stadion.

Form and momentum

TOP Oss come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Jong Ajax come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for TOP, 25% for the draw and 30% for JAJ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward TOP Oss, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • TOP Oss also suffered three defeats in their last five matches which proves they are far from reliable week in and week out.
  • Jong Ajax managed to pick up a draw in their latest outing and could frustrate the hosts just enough to share the spoils.
The bottom line

We back TOP Oss for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTOP +105
TOP2.05draw3.70JAJ3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TOPTOP Oss7 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in11
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW
JAJJong Ajax8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored12and let in20
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

TOP Oss or Jong Ajax tonight?

The site model fancies TOP Oss to grab the points at home against a struggling Jong Ajax side at 2.05. On the other hand, TOP Oss lost three of their last five so they are hard to trust. Are you havin...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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