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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Tijuana v Santos

 Liga MXMon 26 Oct 03:00 UTCEstadio Caliente

Tijuana v Santos tips

TIJTijuanaLDLWL
VS
SANSantosWWWLD
The model callSantosMatch result3.40★★★★2 stars

Santos arrive in solid form while Tijuana struggle to find any consistency on the pitch. The away price offers decent value given recent momentum.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$68
Profit$48
Why it might land
  • Santos enter this match sitting on a strong run of three wins from their last five league outings.
  • The visitors show genuine momentum after picking up seven points from their previous three fixtures.
  • Bookmakers offer a tempting price of 3.40 for Santos to win away from home at Estadio Caliente.
Why it might not
  • Tijuana play at home on their own turf where they will fight hard to turn their poor form around.
  • The hosts desperately need a result after suffering three defeats across their last five matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams display enough inconsistency at the back to let the opposition score at least once.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a reliable defensive record in recent matches to suggest a clean sheet.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Tijuana the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Santos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santos arrive in solid form while Tijuana struggle to find any consistency on the pitch. The away price offers decent value given recent momentum.

Form and momentum

Tijuana come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Santos come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for TIJ, 25% for the draw and 28% for SAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Tijuana, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Tijuana play at home on their own turf where they will fight hard to turn their poor form around.
  • The hosts desperately need a result after suffering three defeats across their last five matches.
The bottom line

We back Santos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTIJ +100
TIJ2.00draw3.70SAN3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TIJTijuana6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in12
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWL
SANSantos7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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