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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Tepatitlán FC v Mineros de Zacatecas

 Liga de ExpansionSat 19 Sept 01:00 UTCEstadio Gregorio Tepa GómezFinished

Tepatitlán FC v Mineros de Zacatecas tips

TEPTepatitlán FCLLLW
0 : 1
MDZMineros de ZacatecasLLWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.51★★★★2 starsLost

We can back goals at the Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gomez with the line set at two point five. Both sides bring erratic form into this fixture on Saturday night.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30.2
Profit$10.2
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at one point five one for over, which shows the betting market expects a very open match here.
  • Tepatitlan FC head into this fixture after losing three of their last four matches in a very poor defensive run.
  • Mineros de Zacatecas also arrive having lost three of their last four outings while showing they can concede plenty.
Why it might not
  • Mineros de Zacatecas lost their most recent match and might struggle to find the back of the net away from home.
  • Tepatitlan FC managed just one win from their previous four games, which suggests their attack could misfire completely.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both defenses have looked shaky during their recent sequences of three defeats in four games.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mineros de Zacatecas the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We can back goals at the Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gomez with the line set at two point five. Both sides bring erratic form into this fixture on Saturday night.

Form and momentum

Tepatitlán FC come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Mineros de Zacatecas come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for TEP, 23% for the draw and 50% for MDZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Mineros de Zacatecas, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.51, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Mineros de Zacatecas lost their most recent match and might struggle to find the back of the net away from home.
  • Tepatitlan FC managed just one win from their previous four games, which suggests their attack could misfire completely.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMDZ -125
TEP3.35draw3.95MDZ1.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TEPTepatitlán FC4 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in17
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLW
MDZMineros de Zacatecas4 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals at Tepa Gomez or will it stay tight?

The site model calls the draw here. We can back goals at two point five because both sides show erratic form lately. Mineros lost their last match though and might struggle to score away from home. Wh...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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