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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Tepatitlán FC v Club Jaiba Brava

 Liga de ExpansionSat 3 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez

Tepatitlán FC v Club Jaiba Brava tips

TEPTepatitlán FCLLLLW
VS
CJBClub Jaiba BravaLDLWL
The model callClub Jaiba BravaMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Club Jaiba Brava takes this away win because Tepatitlan FC brings a poor run of four defeats and one single victory into Friday night at Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gomez. The visitors are priced at 1.91 to claim three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Club Jaiba Brava comes into this fixture priced nicely at 1.91 to secure a victory on the road against struggling opposition.
  • Tepatitlan FC shows a poor recent run of form with four losses and only one win from their last five matches.
  • The hosts sit at home with very weak momentum after losing four out of their past five league outings.
Why it might not
  • Club Jaiba Brava dropped their most recent match and holds an inconsistent form line showing losses mixed with a draw and a win.
  • Tepatitlan FC managed to win one of their last five matches which shows they can occasionally snatch a surprise result.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede goals regularly based on their recent mixed defensive results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.77

The total goals line is set at 2.5 with the over priced at 1.77 for this match.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Club Jaiba Brava the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Club Jaiba Brava, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Club Jaiba Brava takes this away win because Tepatitlan FC brings a poor run of four defeats and one single victory into Friday night at Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gomez. The visitors are priced at 1.91 to claim three points.

Form and momentum

Tepatitlán FC come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Club Jaiba Brava come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 26% for TEP, 27% for the draw and 47% for CJB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Club Jaiba Brava, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Club Jaiba Brava dropped their most recent match and holds an inconsistent form line showing losses mixed with a draw and a win.
  • Tepatitlan FC managed to win one of their last five matches which shows they can occasionally snatch a surprise result.
The bottom line

We back Club Jaiba Brava for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCJB -110
TEP3.50draw3.40CJB1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TEPTepatitlán FC5 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in18
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
CJBClub Jaiba Brava6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Jaiba Brava away at Tepatitlan

The site model fancies Club Jaiba Brava to win this away match because Tepatitlan FC has lost four of their last five. On the other hand, Jaiba Brava lost their latest game and look quite inconsistent...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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