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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  Telstar v ADO Den Haag

 EredivisieSun 11 Oct 12:30 UTC711 Stadion

Telstar v ADO Den Haag tips

TELTelstarLDLDL
VS
ADOADO Den HaagDLLDL
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.51★★★★2 stars

Both sides struggle for wins in recent matches and the goals line is set high at 3.5. We expect a tight affair at the 711 Stadion with few clear chances.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30.2
Profit$10.2
Why it might land
  • Telstar comes into this fixture at the 711 Stadion following a poor run of form that includes three losses and two draws.
  • ADO Den Haag has also struggled badly for victories lately with a recent sequence showing three losses and two draws.
  • The total goals market offers a price of 1.51 for under 1.5 goals which suggests the bookmakers expect a low scoring match overall.
Why it might not
  • The price of 2.30 for over 3.5 goals tempts punters who believe an unexpected scoring burst could ruin a low goals selection.
  • Telstar and ADO Den Haag both desperately need a win to turn around their poor form which might force a more open game.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor scoring form of both clubs, at least one side could easily fail to find the net.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Telstar the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both sides struggle for wins in recent matches and the goals line is set high at 3.5. We expect a tight affair at the 711 Stadion with few clear chances.

Form and momentum

Telstar come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

ADO Den Haag come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for TEL, 26% for the draw and 27% for ADO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Telstar, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.51, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The price of 2.30 for over 3.5 goals tempts punters who believe an unexpected scoring burst could ruin a low goals selection.
  • Telstar and ADO Den Haag both desperately need a win to turn around their poor form which might force a more open game.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTEL -105
TEL1.95draw3.60ADO3.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TELTelstar40 games on record
Won10
Drawn12
Lost18
  • Scored54and let in65
  • At home5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLDL
ADOADO Den Haag7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in17
  • On the roadno winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag, anyone backing the draw?

The site model calls for a tight draw at the 711 Stadion because both teams struggle for wins and the goals line sits high at 3.5. The main worry is that some punters will back over 3.5 goals at 2.30 ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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