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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Tapatío v Club Atlético Morelia

 Liga de ExpansionSat 24 Oct 23:00 UTCEstadio Akron

Tapatío v Club Atlético Morelia tips

TAPTapatíoWLLDW
VS
MORClub Atlético MoreliaLWWWW
The model callClub Atlético MoreliaMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Morelia arrive on a brilliant four match winning run and look primed to take all three points here. Tapatio have been far too inconsistent lately to justify trusting them at home.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Club Atlético Morelia enter this fixture carrying an imposing run of four consecutive victories in their recent results.
  • The away side are priced at a very appealing two point two five to win this match outright away from home.
  • Tapatio have failed to find any consistency whatsoever after picking up two losses and a draw alongside two wins.
Why it might not
  • Tapatio managed to win their most recent outing and could easily build on that positive result at the Estadio Akron.
  • Club Atlético Morelia suffered a defeat immediately before starting their current winning streak which shows vulnerability.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Morelia are scoring freely and Tapatio should manage to get on the scoresheet at home.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough recent attacking intent to make goals likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Club Atlético Morelia the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Club Atlético Morelia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Morelia arrive on a brilliant four match winning run and look primed to take all three points here. Tapatio have been far too inconsistent lately to justify trusting them at home.

Form and momentum

Tapatío come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Club Atlético Morelia come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for TAP, 27% for the draw and 40% for MOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Tapatio managed to win their most recent outing and could easily build on that positive result at the Estadio Akron.
  • Club Atlético Morelia suffered a defeat immediately before starting their current winning streak which shows vulnerability.
The bottom line

We back Club Atlético Morelia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMOR +125
TAP2.80draw3.35MOR2.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TAPTapatío5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDW
MORClub Atlético Morelia6 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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