Betting tips › National League › Tamworth v Sutton United
National LeagueWed 30 Sept 18:45 UTCThe Lamb Ground
Sutton UnitedDDWLLWe expect goals at The Lamb Ground because both sides bring unpredictable recent form into this fixture and neither defence looks completely secure right now. The betting market prices over 2.5 goals at a reasonable figure considering the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both clubs recently.
Both teams have shown enough defensive vulnerability in their recent results to suggest goals at both ends.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Tamworth the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals at The Lamb Ground because both sides bring unpredictable recent form into this fixture and neither defence looks completely secure right now. The betting market prices over 2.5 goals at a reasonable figure considering the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both clubs recently.
Tamworth come in poor, winning 20% of 10 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Sutton United come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.
The prices turn into 40% for TAM, 27% for the draw and 32% for SUT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.57, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Sutton United10 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model likes the draw here because both defences look leaky right now. Some might worry that Tamworth have not been scoring enough goals lately to push the total up. What are you lot backing f...