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Betting tips › NFL ›  Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 NFLSun 18 Oct 17:00 UTCRaymond James Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers tips

PITPittsburgh SteelersWLWLL
VS
TBTampa Bay BuccaneersLLLLW
The model callPittsburgh Steelers +1.5Handicap1.91★★★★2 stars

The Buccaneers look hard to back after dropping four straight games on the trot. Pittsburgh can keep this close enough to cover the small start at the current price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Tampa Bay comes into this matchup carrying a terrible run of four straight losses in their most recent outings.
  • Pittsburgh is available with a useful start of plus one point five at an even price of one point nine one.
  • The visitors bring a mixed form line containing two wins from their last five matches into this road contest.
Why it might not
  • The Steelers have dropped two consecutive games on their recent travels which makes backing them away from home risky.
  • Tampa Bay did manage to win one of their last five matches so they are capable of taking a victory here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 45.5 pointsPrice 1.91

The total line sits at forty five point five and both teams show enough recent scoring volatility to push past that number.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. The Buccaneers look hard to back after dropping four straight games on the trot. Pittsburgh can keep this close enough to cover the small start at the current price.

Form and momentum

Tampa Bay Buccaneers come in solid, winning 46% of 26 on record. 6 of their 13 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Pittsburgh Steelers come in solid, winning 56% of 27 on record. 6 of their 12 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for TB and 47% for PIT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings TB hold the edge with 1 wins to 0. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • The Steelers have dropped two consecutive games on their recent travels which makes backing them away from home risky.
  • Tampa Bay did manage to win one of their last five matches so they are capable of taking a victory here.
The bottom line

We back Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTB -1.5
TB -1.51.91PIT +1.51.91over 45.51.91under 45.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers26 games on record
Won12
Lost14
  • Scored547and let in584
  • At home6 winsfrom13
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
PITPittsburgh Steelers27 games on record
Won15
Lost12
  • Scored575and let in583
  • On the road6 winsfrom12
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1TB wins
0PIT wins
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 14 : 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers16 Aug 2025 · NFL

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Buccaneers or Steelers today?

The site model likes the Steelers here because Tampa Bay has lost four in a row and the price gives us a small start. On the other hand, Pittsburgh dropped their last two away games which makes backin...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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